BirthME, Doulas

But this optimism assumes Trump cannot expand the electoral map elsewhere.In fact, he can. Only one Republican president – other than Trump presumably in 2020 – has been successful in this deep-blue Democratic stronghold for nearly 90 years. USA TODAY. His chances of winning Ohio, where he swamped Hillary Clinton by 9 points in 2016, are still great. Trump won by slightly less than 1 percent there in 2016. On the other hand, he added, “I can see a lot of these suburban voters who voted Democrat in 2018 saying, ‘well gosh, maybe Trump can bring law and order here or bring some peace.’”Minnesota has a Democratic governor and two Democratic US senators, but also a split state legislature, with the state Senate controlled by Republicans and state House controlled by Democrats. In 2016, Trump was just 44,593 votes shy of beating Clinton.

Overall, the margin between Trump and Hillary Clinton was a mere 1.5 percent — just 44,000 votes — the weakest Democratic tilt in decades.In fact, Trump might well have won Minnesota in 2016 had he made the state more of a priority. A November 2016 attack by a Somali American, who stabbed eight people in a shopping mall, has fueled support for Trump’s Muslim travel ban.Minnesota’s up for grabs for another reason: Massive fallout from the resignation of Sen. Al Franken, a prominent liberal Democrat, over sexual assault allegations that have damaged the party’s standing with voters across the board. But without Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, where Trump won by smaller margins four years ago, the president might well lose reelection.In 2016, Trump had a 68 electoral-vote margin over Clinton — 304 to 236. Minnesota doesn’t have political party registration, meaning there aren’t precise statistics of how many Republicans and how many Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor members (the state’s Democratic Party) there are. It was almost like, ‘I have to hide’ their support for the president … and now people are just out there and proud,” Carnahan said.Thinking about leaving the U.S. for good? It’s not so much the suburban males.”The rapid diversification of such a white state helps explain Trump’s sudden 2016 rise in a traditionally Democratic state, Jacobs said. They are predicting that in 2020, traditionally Democratic Minnesota will go red.“There are a lot of people who don’t necessarily like to say I am solely aligned with this party or I am solely aligned with that party,” Minnesota Republican Party chair Jennifer Carnahan said. Minnesota has consistently high voter turnout; in the 2008 U.S. presidential election, 77.8% of eligible Minnesotans voted – the highest percentage of any U.S. state or territory – versus the national average of 61.7%. The GOP ran a playbook of fear about Latin American immigrants arriving in caravans and Democrats letting violent criminals run amok in the streets. )WCCO’s Pat Kessler has spent the aftermath of that election examining whether Minnesota, which has traditionally been a reliably blue state, is actually swinging toward transforming into a red one. That 2018 midterms win was powered by suburban women, and happened in no small part because of active distaste and disgust with Trump himself. There are a few factors to help explain this shift. “I think Minnesotans are very discerning when it comes to voting, and they look at the candidates and the issues that matter to them and they cast their vtoe. If there’s a backlash to protests, could it turn red?The same day that Minneapolis police killed George Floyd on May 25, While thought to be a reliably blue state in presidential elections, Minnesota is emerging as a sleeper battleground in 2020. By Amber Pariona on March 25 2019 in Politics. Includes trends and polls for the 2020 election, as well as a Minnesota voting history and narrative. Assuming the rest of the electoral map stays frozen in place, it could even be the state that puts Trump over the top.Seeing Minnesota fall would be the bitterest of ironies for the Democrats and an unmistakable sign of just how much the mood of the country has shifted since Trump captured the White House.Copyright © 2020 The Federalist, a wholly independent division of FDRLST Media, All Rights Reserved.Copyright © 2020 The Federalist, a wholly independent division of FDRLST Media, All Rights Reserved.When it comes to elections, swing states are always crucial, but in 2020, this blue state could be turning red for Trump.Stewart J. Lawrence is a Washington, D.C.-based public policy analyst who writes frequently on national issues. However, at that time, a maker of widely-sold maps accompanied them with blue pencils in order to mark Confederate force movements, while red was for t… No Republican presidential candidate has won here since Richard Nixon in 1972, making Minnesota the state with the longest blue streak in the nation. The same association of blue with political conservatism was once common in US politics, but now red is associated with the conservative party. The 2016 election results showed the state pretty evenly split. (Since most of Clinton’s were among the most populous in the state, she won it by a narrow margin. “Minnesota is vulnerable to that, particularly in areas that are experiencing economic anxiety and where you started to see diverse populations move in.

In 2016, President Donald Trump won 79 Minnesota counties, compared to Hillary Clinton’s eight. Politically, the state can be divided into the blue areas around the Twin Cities, and a more purple area around the northern Iron Range that was historically Democratic and union-heavy but has trended red in recent years. Though how much red and blue is in that purple is evolving. In fact, the last time the GOP captured Minnesota was during Richard Nixon’s reelection campaign in 1972, nearly a half-century ago.Yet Trump, with his own brand of populism, nearly captured the state in 2016.